Tirian wrote:Generally speaking, we're seeing on the net time and time again that there's a thin line for media pricing that, when crossed, will just result in people pirating. We'll see how Hulu's model pans out before they officially switch over.
Exactly. What's interesting is that the media companies think their intellectual property is worth a certain price, yet when pressed to pay for it via digital distribution, people are more likely to pirate it as you stated. $0.99/song seems reasonable judging by the success of iTunes and Amazon's MP3 service yet strangely, I don't see many people flocking to subscription sites that offer up to X songs downloaded per month for a $15/mo. fee. It seems to me that the distributors who have based their distribution model around monthly fees tend to look at their service as an all-you-can-eat buffet while the consumer's preferences tend toward a pay-as-you-go consumption model.
I realize music is a different beast from television shows and movies, but I'm compelled to wonder how well a shift toward a fee-based model is going to work. Consider music downloads: You purchase a song for what the market deems is a fair price, you download it, and you can play it as much as you like. More importantly, as the success of Amazon's MP3 service has pointed out,
DRM-laden music is not well-received (after all, iTunes was forced to shift away from crippled content and provide MP3 downloads). How will it work out for Hulu if 1) the consumer still doesn't "own" anything, 2) you have to use their proprietary players (although they do have Windows, OS X, and Linux based players if you wish to build your own home theater PC), and--the most touchy point--3) they decide to keep advertisements.
Bandwidth isn't free. Neither is a license to play content. I'm curious as to how much the consumer will think a site like Hulu truly is worth. Pandora recently shifted their model from completely free to partially free/fee-based. After litigation by the recording industry, it was stipulated that Internet radio stations must pay $20,000/year in licensing fees. Thus, I believe Pandora now only provides up to 40 hours a month of free listening before users are required to pay. While I believe the fee is absurdly large and imposes an artificial barrier to entry that effectively eliminates smaller Internet radio stations from competing in the mix, I would find
reasonable consumption limits to be fair.
However, radio in general and music in particular are seen as something different by consumers. It's still media, sure, but the consumer doesn't appear to treat all media equally. Take a look at satellite and cable services. The fees subscribers pay to their satellite or cable company are largely viewed as an access charge--something to support of the hardware and gain access to the provider's network. Television entertainment, in the eye of the consumer, is something paid for by advertising. While this view is vastly different from reality--the fees paid for cable and satellite also go toward licensing content and other network surcharges--the consumer largely isn't aware of this nor do they care. If you play commercials, that is how you're paying to give me what I'm watching.
What's the reaction from the average consumer going to be?
"I'm already paying for this Internet thing, so why do I have to pay $10 a month to watch some shows that I already get on my TV
and on a bigger screen?"